Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.002044 0.002146 0.002253 0.002375 0.002509 0.002655 0.002825
2025-05-18 0.001895 0.002038 0.002196 0.002385 0.002607 0.002864 0.003189
2025-05-25 0.001773 0.001940 0.002130 0.002366 0.002658 0.003015 0.003499
2025-06-01 0.001670 0.001849 0.002060 0.002329 0.002675 0.003118 0.003756
2025-06-08 0.001625 0.001822 0.002059 0.002372 0.002790 0.003354 0.004229
2025-06-15 0.001579 0.001788 0.002045 0.002393 0.002875 0.003558 0.004692
2025-06-22 0.001518 0.001732 0.001998 0.002366 0.002888 0.003655 0.005006
2025-06-29 0.001460 0.001675 0.001945 0.002325 0.002876 0.003711 0.005259
2025-07-06 0.001416 0.001634 0.001910 0.002306 0.002892 0.003810 0.005611
2025-07-13 0.001347 0.001557 0.001825 0.002210 0.002785 0.003696 0.005520
2025-07-20 0.001316 0.001527 0.001801 0.002199 0.002807 0.003799 0.005897
2025-07-27 0.001297 0.001514 0.001797 0.002217 0.002873 0.003984 0.006513
2025-08-03 0.001268 0.001487 0.001776 0.002209 0.002900 0.004111 0.007056
2025-08-10 0.001254 0.001479 0.001780 0.002239 0.002991 0.004371 0.008085
2025-08-17 0.001229 0.001454 0.001759 0.002230 0.003016 0.004506 0.008841
2025-08-24 0.001198 0.001422 0.001726 0.002199 0.003001 0.004557 0.009361
2025-08-31 0.001190 0.001421 0.001737 0.002238 0.003112 0.004900 0.011257
2025-09-07 0.001177 0.001411 0.001736 0.002258 0.003189 0.005184 0.013335
2025-09-14 0.001153 0.001385 0.001708 0.002233 0.003181 0.005262 0.014504
2025-09-21 0.001126 0.001355 0.001675 0.002197 0.003148 0.005271 0.015306
2025-09-28 0.001106 0.001334 0.001654 0.002180 0.003150 0.005373 0.016969
2025-10-05 0.001068 0.001287 0.001593 0.002093 0.003011 0.005084 0.015309
2025-10-12 0.001052 0.001271 0.001578 0.002084 0.003024 0.005206 0.017191